Dingerlytics uses Statcast pitch data, physics-based carry modeling, and machine learning to find home run props where the sportsbooks are mispriced — every morning before first pitch.
We model each at-bat from the pitch delivery — spin rate, release point, velocity profile — through to projected carry distance and park-adjusted HR probability.
Every morning we pull HR prop odds from a dozen sportsbooks simultaneously and find the best available line for each batter — not just one book.
A pick only makes the list when our model probability meaningfully exceeds the book's implied probability. No picks with no edge, ever.
Daily home run picks with verified edge, delivered before first pitch. Check back soon.